Institute for Renewable Energy since 2001 realized, among others, the following projects:
- SDHp2m - Advanced strategies and measures to support the market for the launch of investments in solar heating
- The business model of investment in renewable energy sources – Development of business models for independent producers and autoproducers - investments in the first commercial renewable energy projects
- EurObserv'ER - EurObserv'ER barometer 2006-2015
- Monitoring of the RES Act - Monitoring the progress of implementation of the Law on Renewable Energy Sources
- The hybrid RES - Designing a hybrid system (combining different RES technologies: photovoltaic systems, heat pumps etc.) supplying the gas station
- The National Development Plan for Heating from Renewable Sources by 2030 - National Development Plan for domestic installations to generate heating from renewable energy sources by 2030
- Analysis - co - performance analysis estimating in a quantitative and narrative way the role of co-combustion technology in the new statutory regime
- Analysis - FIT for RES micro-installations - Implementation of cost analysis for micro-installations, which will receive support under the provisions of art. 41 of the Law on renewable energy sources
- Analysis - RES development in Poland - Performing an economic analysis of necessary support system for the development of microenergy market based on renewable energy sources in Poland
- Study Tour - Study trip to Germany for the employees from Agricultural Advisory Centres
- Installation of renewable energy systems for private houses and public buildings in the Municipality Długosiodło - Preparation of functional program, the terms of ordering and supervision
- Heating systems - Prospects for the development of the market for the heating sector in Poland
- Study Tour - Study trip to Germany for farmers and government
- Biomethane in Poland - Implementation of studies entitled "Aspects of economic, social and environmental future-oriented use of biomethane for transport purposes in Poland"
- RES Act - Expert analysis of the effects of the government's draft law on renewable energy sources, together with the proposed support system
- Prosumers in Poland - Analysis of the real benefits of the proposed government support mechanisms for prosumers according to the government's draft law on renewable energy sources
- Support for prosumers in Poland - Performance analysis of the real benefits arising from the proposed government support mechanisms for prosumers
- Guide – Development of a guide for users of solar collectors, implemented under the project entitled "The installation of renewable energy systems on public buildings and private homes in the municipalities belonging to the Association of Municipalities Wisłoka Basin"
- The farmer with energy - Implementation of simplified technical and economic analyzes and summary of the results for the 6 types of micro-installations, preparation of the guide for investors on issues related to the investment projects, focusing on the determinants of legal, administrative and financial investments, a presentation on the topic "Problems of access to energy and quality of energy services in rural areas and the chance to increase the energy security of households", the development of four mini reports
- The National Development Plan for RES microinstallations by 2030 - roadmap of the energy sector for prosumers and citizens, based on the use of micro and small RES installations for the production of electricity and heat in residential, industrial and agricultural sectors (the so-called distributed generation)
- Feasibility study of market analysis - Analysis of the wind energy market in the context of new regulations
- "Biogas plant-thought-out choice" - project funded by the National Fund within which we have prepared the content of substantive training multimedia presentation, expert texts for brochures for the citizens and brochures for local governments, the development of content of 50 e-learning lessons in the context of e-learning course implemented on the moodle platform and the preparation and adaptation of a set of data showing the state of agricultural biogas plants in Poland
- Feasibility study of installing photovoltaic panels - Feasibility study for the installation of photovoltaic panels with a total capacity of 1,085 MW target on the roofs of 21 energy facilities. For the purpose of study there were carried out site inspections of facilities and taking into account the obstacles for the installation there was proposed the capacity. The study consisted of detailed cost estimates, estimated expenditures of investment, economic calculations. The study was performed in accordance with the guidelines of the JESSICA program.
- Biogas - preparing analysis entitled "Assessment of substantive documentation for feasibility studies and environmental impact assessments of projects of biogas plants"
- Natural gas and renewable energy sources - Analysis of the use of renewable energy sources in the natural gas transmission system
- Promotion of the production and distribution of renewable energy sources - Preparation of the study entitled The evaluation of the condition of ex-ante No. 4.3 in terms of investment priority "Promotion of the production and distribution of renewable energy sources" for the European Regional Development Fund and the Cohesion Fund, as defined in Annex V of the general regulation, the EP and the Council for the European Structural Funds and Investment for 2014 -2020, in connection with the adoption of the Act of 26th of July 2013, amending the Act - energy law and certain other acts (Journal of laws of 2013, pos. 984 of 27 August 2013).
- Support for renewable energy technologies in Poland - analysis for the determination of the necessary level of support for individual RES technologies in the context of the implementation of the National Action Plan for energy from renewable sources at the Ministry of Economy
- Energy revolution for Poland - Scenario of supplying Poland with clean energy carriers in the long term
- Meteorological models for the RES market - Implementation of the analysis entitled "Areas of application and the possibility of commercialization of the results of meteorological models on the market of energy from renewable sources"
- Offshore wind energy - The role of offshore wind energy in the initial stage of implementation by Poland the obligation of producing electricity from renewable energy by 2020. and later (2035)
- Co-firing of biomass with coal - Preparation and development of economic impact assessment of maintenance support for the co-combustion technology of coal with biomass
- Certificates of origin - Analysis of the situation on the Property Rights Market for certificates of origin of energy from renewable sources to TGE
- SDHplus - Solar heating systems in Europe
- OZERISE - Renewable Energy Farms and Intelligent Networks
- Repowermap - A European map for Promoting renewable energies and energy efficiency
- UrbanSolPlus - The use of solar energy in urban development subject to the renovation and historic buildings
- BupS Poland - Polish National Building Workforce Training and Qualification Initiative in the field of energy efficiency and renewable energy
- European Solar Days - Campaign to promote solar systems in Europe
- Analysis of the possibility of introducing a system of feed-in tariffs for micro and small RES installations - Expertise for the Ministry of Economy with the proposal of tariff rates to the law on renewable energy sources. On the basis of actual capital expenditures and operating expenses have been counted the cost of electricity production from each of the sources of renewable energy (LCOE - levelized cost of electricity).
- The forecast of energy prices - Long-term forecast of electricity prices in Poland and price scenario of support system for renewable energy
- Wind Power - Implementation of development "Renewable energy as a lever for socio-economic development of the regions by 2020. Why and how we should plan the development of wind energy in the regions".
- OffshoreGrid - The framework of network development and market energy for power at sea: assessment of technical and economic variety of design options
- The development of offshore wind energy and nuclear energy - Development of a comparative study case for Pomerania on the economic aspects of the development of offshore wind energy and nuclear energy
- Wind power and biomass - "The potential of wind energy and biomass in the Lower Silesia by 2020"
- Job places in terms of the development of offshore wind energy and nuclear energy - "Analysis of the job places in terms of the development of offshore wind energy and nuclear energy. A comparative study of the case for Pomerania."
- Analysis of the operation of a wind turbine - Development of an annual analysis of the number of hours of work net of the wind turbine
- Certificates of origin - "Analysis of the effects of oversupplying with certificates of origin for the renewable energy sector"
- Micro-biogas plants in Poland - "Analysis of the introduction of the criteria and the necessary support mechanisms for the development of micro-biogas plants in Poland"
- Determination of the energy potential of Polish regions in terms of renewable energy sources - applications for the Regional Operational Programs for the programming period 2014-2020 - "The research and analysis were to determine in the comparative way the energy potential of the 16 provinces in the field of renewable energy sources. The analysis covered, among others, natural conditions (size and diversification of renewable energy resources) and infrastructure, possible directions of RES development at the regional level in Poland by 2020. The aim of the study was to identify the types of renewable energy sources and types of projects, which have the greatest need to be taken into account in the future as investments in energy co-financed by the EU funds and using previous experience, formulating preliminary recommendations for the creation of the Regional Operational Programs for the next programming period".
- Prospects for the development of selected sectors of renewable energy in Poland 2011 - The aim was to identify investment opportunities in companies from the renewable energy sources. The focus was on the most promising technologies for Poland: wind energy (with a separate segment of small wind turbines), solar thermal energy, agricultural biogas, solid biofuels and small geothermal installations. Each of them was characterized by taking into account the characteristics of the market, the current market situation, trends of development and international exchange.
- Development of "Analysis of the European manufacturers of equipment for thermochemical conversion of solid biofuels"
- SUSPLAN - Development of long-term regional and pan-European guidelines for the most effective integration of renewable energy infrastructure.
- Clean energy, clean Mazovia - investments in renewable energy - a feasibility study for the proposal for the project from the European Development Fund under the Regional Operational Program of the Mazowieckie Voivodeship, Priority IV. Environmental risk prevention and energy; Measure 4.3 Protection of air
- Biogas plants - "A guide for investors interested in building biogas plants including, among others, standard projects of biogas plants"
- Production of devices for renewable energy sources in Poland - "Analysis of the development of the production of equipment for renewable energy in Poland for domestic market and export" implemented in the framework of the task "Stimulating the development of industries producing equipment for renewable energy"
- Befriend with the energy friendly environment - Gathering and developing databases for 16 regions and preparation of final consolidated report to the situation of the energy in provinces
- Wind turbines in the sea - Consultation and analysis related to the principles of location of wind turbines, including the location of wind turbines at sea.
- The market of solar collectors in Poland - Development of a report on the solar thermal market “The current state of development of solar thermal energy in Poland and investment opportunities"
- Market of household wind installations in Poland - Development of a report on the market for small wind turbines "Domestic Wind Power Plants. Small wind power systems (3kW-15kW installed capacity)"
- Market of biomass boilers in Poland - Development of a report on the market for biomass boilers "The current state of market development of biomass boilers in Poland and the investment opportunities in the field of 10-1000 kW"
- Offshore wind energy - "Economic and social aspects of the development of offshore wind energy in Poland"
- MADEGASCAR - Market development of vehicles powered by gas, supply and distribution network of natural gas and biogas
- "Performance analysis of substantive, technical and economic viability of the project to purchase biogas plant with a capacity of 1 MW in Orchówek (Wlodawa)" - Feasibility study of a biogas plant with a capacity of 1 MWe. It contains a detailed technical, technological and economic analysis
- FIRE - Facilitating Innovation in Renewable Energies
- EU-AGRO-BIOGAS - A European initiative of R&D institutions to increase the efficiency of biogas
- POW'WOW - Prediction of waves, wakes and offshore wind
- Create Acceptance - Cultural influence on renewable energy acceptance and tools for the development of communication strategies to promote acceptance among key actors groups
- Active Learning - Integration of active learning and energy monitoring with school curricula
- BETTER - Biofuel chain enhancement for territorial development of European Regions
- SOLCAMP - Solar energy for camping sites
- Flame SOFC - Fuel flexible, air-regulated, modular, electrically integrated SOFC
- T (at) W- Sustainable energy technologies at work on the market generated by the EU emission trade scheme and the linked CDM and JI market
- Refuel - Renewable fuels for a sustainable Europe
- Market Report - a report on the renewable energy market in Poland
- RESCUE - Action plan for stimulating research and innovation in SMEs from CEECs in the renewable energy field
- OBSERV'ER 2 - Renewable energy sources in the EU and the CEEC
- JRC - Bioenergy: Methodological improvement of statistical data collection regarding to biomass availability and use in the EU New Member States
- PAE - Creation of Sub-Carpathian Energy Agency in Podkarpackie Voivodeship
- ManagEnergy - Organisation of the second European Conference of Municipal Specialists in Energy
- EUBIONET II - Efficient trading of biomass fuels and analysis of fuel supply chains and business models for market actors by networking
- ProBio - Production of biogas and fertilisers out of wood and straw
- EREC - Promotion and market stimulation of RES in the European Union and Candidate Countries
- INVERT - Investing in RES & RUE technologies: Models for saving public money
- VIEWLS - Conference Clear views for clean fuels, Warsaw, 18 Oct 2004
- SusCom - Sustainable Energy Communities and Sustainable Development
- SIWERM - Successful Implementation of Wind Energy at Regional and Municipal Level
- RESPEED - Promotion of the European experience of renewable energy sources, development and climate change commitments in the new member states and the Candidate Countries: A high-level approach
- OBSERV'ER - EurObserv'ER - renewable energy barometer
- BS KWI - Podhale Geothermal District Heating and Environmental Project - Monitoring of CO2 Abatement, Poland
- NIRAS - Maturing biogas/biomass CHP project on POLDANOR SA and Koczała Commune, feasibility study
- EU BIOTECH - Accompanying measure to Encourage biomass uptake and assist technology transfer of EU Biomass/Waste utilization technologies to China and Central and Eastern Europe
- PROMISE - Procurement in Municipalities for Integrative Solutions on Energy
- TDA SUWAŁKI - Investment in Wind Farm project in Suwalki County, Poland
- PLIG - Renewable Energy Sources for Communities of North-Eastern Poland
- Hedeman - Conference on Renewable Energy Technologies at POLEKO International Trade Fair in Poznan, Poland
"Photovoltaic market in Poland 2020"
Summary and conclusions
The photovoltaic (PV) market is growing the fastest among all renewable energy sectors in Poland. The total installed power in photovoltaic sources was almost 1500 MW at the end of 2019, and in May 2020 it exceeded 1950 MW. Currently, the largest increase in new power is observed in the micro-installations segment, which means a large activity of individual and business prosumers. In 2019, Poland achieved an increase in new power of about 0.9 GW and with a share of the increase in power of 5.5%, it was in the top five in the European Union. According to IEO forecasts, Poland will maintain the rate of installed power growth to the end of the year and will remain at the 5th place in the EU. IEO estimates that at the end of 2020 the power installed in PV in Poland may reach 2.5 GW. IEO forecasts also indicate that turnover on the photovoltaic market will increase this year compared to the previous one by even 25% and will exceed PLN 5 billion.
The observed and forecasted market growth is particularly pronounced in the prosumers and PV farm developers’ sectors and creates a market for installation and EPC companies as well as Polish manufacturers and equipment suppliers whose development provides new jobs and generates added value.
However, the spectacular successes of the industry should not lead to the belief that PV farms guarantee success forever the first trial period may be the years 2023-2024, when support systems will no longer work. Additional government action is needed - in addition to economic recovery packages that PV farms have not used, including accelerating the implementation of directives and preparing for the rapid absorption of new EU funds. Additional activities should lead to consolidation of the industry's position on the energy market, development of innovation and export of Made-in-Poland devices.
The global pandemic has proven the negative effects of placing most industrial production outside the EU area. The EU share in the global production of solar modules has dropped to the level of 5-6%. The production capacities of Polish producers of PV modules reaching 500 MW / year constitute 10% of total European production capacities. The projected rapid increase in power in the domestic energy system will cause the demand of the domestic market for uninterrupted supply of new PV technologies and reduction of dependence on supplies of new technologies and components from abroad.
The challenge faced by the industry and government administration is the creation of industrial policy (the same as in UE), optimal domestic market shaping, promotion of the export of Polish PV products and support for strategic plans of domestic enterprises. The Institute for Renewable Energy has made an initiative on public administration partnership and integration of the photovoltaic industry, initiating operation and cooperation under the "Industrial PV Panel". The declaration of representatives of the Polish solar industry has been signed by, among others: ML System, Bruk-bet, Solar and Hanplast, a number of other significant supply chain companies (fasteners, cables, accessories, etc.) have already joined or declare their willingness to join the initiative. The signatories, in response to announced government plans for photovoltaic development and based on measures initiated to support the domestic industry initiated in the EU and in Poland, declared that in 2021-2025 they are able to increase their production power 5 times, develop export potential accordingly (contribution to improving the national trade balance and the competitiveness of the Polish economy) and create up to 9,000 in the entire supply chain jobs.
In 2019, 640 MW of Power in micro-installations was installed, which means an almost three-fold increase year-on-year, already in the first quarter of 2020 about 300 MW of PV micro-installations were connected to the network. The large increase in the power of micro-installations in the first quarter of this year means that despite the onset of a pandemic (and the first signs of an economic slowdown), prosumers are still interested in investing in photovoltaics and the global pandemic limits the sector's development to a relatively small extent. At the end of 2019, micro-installations accounted for over 70% of the total power installed in photovoltaics.
Polish photovoltaics, unlike many other European countries, has now very prosumer and diffuse character. It results from the citizens' interest in energy production on their own, available support programs and friendly legal regulations, among others tax breaks. The "My Current" program that has been in operation for a year and the long-term EU support under the Regional Operational Programs are the pillar of the permanent development of the prosumer sector.
At present, renewable energy auctions are still the main driving force behind the PV farm market, especially those with a power of around 1 MW. In all auctions conducted so far, projects with a total power of almost 1,700 MW have won. In this year's auction, the volume for solar farms in the so-called "Small basket" (<1 MW) is planned for 800 MW, and in a large (> 1 MW) for a minimum of 700 MW. So far, about 370 MW have been put into operation at PV farms, which is about 20% of the total installed power in PV. Winners of the 2018 auction, due to the global epidemic and difficulties associated with it, may postpone the implementation of projects until May 2021. This means that in 2021 and 2022 there will be an investment boom in the PV farm sector, when all projects will be put into operation.
Forecasts for the PV market
The IEO forecast assumes an increase in the installed power in solar farm in 2020 mainly in the micro-installations segment. Then in the years 2021-2022 about 2.8 GW of PV farms will be put into operation. In 2022 and 2023, the share of PV farms in the total installed power will be equal to the share of micro-installations. The PV market will change from a typically prosumer one, just as it is now, on sustainable one between professional PV power plants and prosumers. According to Solar Power Europe scenarios from 2019, the power installed in Poland in 2023 will be 3.5-5 GW. IEO, taking into account all types of support in each sector and its current dynamics, proposes a more optimistic scenario.
According to the IEO forecast, the power installed in PV will reach 2.5 GW this year, and the growth rate of new power will remain at the same level as last year. In 2023, the PV power will reach 6.6 GW. In 2025, however, the total installed power can reach 7.8 GW, which means that already in 2025 installed PV power will exceed the power assumed in KPEiK on 2030.
Positive forecasts are also confirmed by leading companies from the PV industry that participated in market research. IEO analysis shows that companies are still planning rapid development, despite the temporary difficulties caused by the pandemic. The most frequently indicated direction of development was further increase in employment - after the employment in the industry at the end of 2019 reached 6,000 full-time jobs, as many as 90% of companies have again expressed their desire to increase the number of jobs. 85% of respondents plan to further increase production power. Half of the companies intend to introduce innovations to the offer, e.g. PV roof tiles or energy storage. The same number of surveyed enterprises intends to expand the company's operations, e.g. by offering operational services. Module manufacturers will systematically increase production power from 2020, introducing new technologies successively, and the construction of a silicon cell and tandem cell factory is planned in 2024. This shows that despite the economic slowdown, companies in the photovoltaic industry are preparing for a further increase in installed power and development of the PV market, and have ambitious plans that go beyond 2020, and with the state guarantee of market development at least until the end of 2022, i.e. until the whole economy should recover from the slowdown.
Photovoltaics will be instrumental in the breakthrough that begins the energy transformation. It is not only the main area of investment in renewable energy, but also in the entire Polish power industry. As the only renewable energy industry, it was able to mobilize more investment capital in the years 2019-2020 than all conventional energetics. It is also able to win the trust of Polish and foreign capital investors, which is confirmed by the IEO_PV stock index.
If you are interested in full ‘PV Market in Poland’ Report please click on the graphics below.
Businesses, supported by the government, will join forces to strengthen their industry and contribute to the European Green Deal through made-in-EU products.